8:00 am - 2:00 pm
Hotel Lobby |
Registration |
8:00 - 2:00 am
Atrium |
Publications and Posters Exhibit |
8:30 - 9:15 am
Ballroom C & D
|
Continental Breakfast and AUBER
Business Meeting
Presiding: Janet Speyrer, University of New
Orleans and AUBER President, 2004-05 |
9:30 - 10:45 am
|
Concurrent Sessions: |
| Ballroom A |
Session A: Interesting Approaches to Forecasting
Presiding: Rajeev Dhawan, Georgia State University
Learn what’s new in the forecasting field.
How can you improve your predictions of employment growth?
What is a good statistical model of investor behavior?
Three accomplished practitioners share their research
methodologies and conclusions that can be invaluable in
keeping a good handle on the national economy in the post-9/11
era.
Presenters:
Steven Director,
Rutgers University
"A
New Leading Indicator of National Employment"
Kevin J. Lansing,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
"Forecasting
Stock Market Valuation with Nominal versus Real Variables"
Ellis W. Tallman,
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
"Predicting
Payroll Employment despite Frequent Data Revisions" |
| West Meeting Room |
Session B: New Census DataGeek Tools
Presiding: Carol Rogers, Indiana University
"Cool
Tools for DataGeeks"
The goliath of data collection is spending millions of
dollars on its web site. What tools do they make available
to us now and what is in the pipeline that can help us
become more efficient in our own work? Learn about the
Local Employment Dynamics plans for new power tools aimed
at researchers and new tools in American FactFinder.
Presenter: Anja
Decressin, U.S. Census Bureau
"LED: New Data Tools" |
| Ballroom B |
Session C: Economic Impact Analysis: Tools and
Examples
Presiding: Jim Kurre, Penn State
Erie
This session provides an overview of the three most-used
economic impact models (RIMS, IMPLAN and REMI), as well
as an exciting new contender (Regional Dynamics). Each
of the papers will cover the data inputs needed for that
model, how the model calculates its answers, the types
of outputs that result, the cost, and the strengths and
weaknesses of that model. This session will provide a
useful comparison of models and contacts with users.
Presenters:
Zoë Ambargis,
Bureau of Economic Analysis
"The
RIMS II Model"
Jan Crispin-Little,
University of Utah
"The
REMI Model"
Martin Shields,
Pennsylvania State University
"The
IMPLAN Input-Output Model"
Tom Tanner,
Carl Vinson Institute of Government
"The
Regional Dynamics Model" |
| 10:45 - 11:00 am |
Refreshment Break |
11:00 am - 12:15 pm
|
Concurrent Sessions
|
| Ballroom A |
Session A: Local and Regional Economic Indicators
and Indexes
Presiding: Jim Kurre, Penn
State Erie
This session will discuss the efforts of four AUBER
member centers at creating local indexes of economic activity.
The presentations will deal with methodological issues,
as well as dissemination of results and associated benefits
and costs. This session will provide guidance in starting
an index for your own area.
Presenters:
Douglas Lonnstrom,
Siena College Research Institute
"Consumer
Confidence Index - The Road To Fame"
Robert Potts
and Bengte Evenson,
University of Nevada, Las Vegas
"Forecasting
Local Economic Conditions with a Regional Index of Leading
Economic Indicators"
Jim Kurre
and Jeremiah
J. Riethmiller, Penn State Erie
"Creating an Index of Leading Indicators for
a Metro Area" (Presentation,
Paper)
Sean Snaith,
University of the Pacific
"The
Index of Leading Economic Indicators for the San Joaquin
Valley, California" |
| West Meeting Area |
Session B: New Developments from BEA and BLS
Presiding: Rich Wobbekind, University of Colorado
at Boulder
Presenters:
Rob Brown, Bureau of Economic Analysis
"Improving
the Regional Economic Infrastructure"
David Talan,
Business Employment Dynamics, Bureau of Labor Statistics
"New
Developments in the QCEW/ES-202 Program" |
| Ballroom B |
Session C: Creative Marketing for AUBER Units:
The “Power Shot”
Presiding:
Lorena Akioka, University of Georgia
In today's budget-stressed environment, creatively marketing
your center’s activities is essential. How do you
spread the word, enhance your center’s visibility,
and attract clients? How do you develop a winning advantage—“the
power shot”? Two experienced center directors share
their insights on media relations and other ways to keep
a center in the public spotlight.
Presenters:
Pat Barkey,
Ball State University
"Building
Reputational Capital"
Rick
Harper, University of West Florida |
12:15 - 1:30 pm
Ballroom C & D |
Luncheon and National
Economic Outlook
Presiding: Janet Speyrer, University
of New Orleans, AUBER President, 2004-2005
Speaking: Duncan
Meldrum, chief economist, Air Products and
Chemicals, Inc. and past president, NABE
"Focus
on Hurricane Impacts" |
| 1:45 pm |
Depart for field trip to National
Bison Range and Flathead Indian Reservation. Meet
in the hotel lobby |
| 3:30 - 5:00 pm |
Tour the Visitor Center of the National Bison
Range in Moiese, MT |
| 5:00 - 8:00 pm |
Dinner at the KwaTaqNuk Resort in Polson, MT
Entertainment provided by members of the Confederated
Salish and Kootenai Tribes |
9:00 pm - ?
Room 248 |
AUBER hospitality suite |
| 
| 
| 
| 
| 
| 
