Association for University
Business and Economic Research

A National Association of
Regional Economic Research Centers

Center News

AUBER Centers in the News

From local newspapers to national media outlets such as the Wall Street Journal, CNN, the New York Times, and the Washington Post, AUBER members’ research is often in the headlines, and directors at AUBER centers are quoted frequently. Read about our members’ recent news coverage, as well as other news items from centers.

October 2018
University of Nevada-Las Vegas, Center for Business and Economic Research.
Giorgio Canarella (senior economist) and Stephen M. Miller (director) had their paper, “Did Okun’s Law Die after the Great Recession,” selected by the Board of Editors of the NABE journal Business Economics for the Abramson Scroll Award, Outstanding Paper, published in the four issues from October 2017 to July 2018. They also had their paper “Firm Size, Corporate Debt, R&D Activity, and Agency Costs: Exploring Dynamic and Non-Linear Effects,” selected by AUBER as the 2018 Polzin Prize as Best Paper.

University of Utah Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. Utah Valley Executive Summit encourages intelligent planning for the future (Daily Herald); Zions Bank joins Utah Outdoor Partners as founding member (Utah Policy); Utah researchers to target ways to help middle class achieve the American Dream (Deseret News); Amazon wage bump will help push Utah employees into ‘fair and decent’ earnings (Deseret News); Get to know the 10 teams that were picked out of 152 proposals to be the ‘American Dream’ Utah finalists (Deseret News); American Dream Finalists include single parent shared living, coal country team (KSL); Evictions: the dark side of Salt Lake City’s housing boom (Salt Lake Tribune); Utah executives have strong, but declining sentiment on state’s economic future (Utah Policy); Governor’s Office presents analysis of economic development plans (Utah Policy).

A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research, Chapman University. Orange County Business Journal, On Economics: “So You Believe the Chapman Forecast: Now What?” by Jim Doti, September 24, 2018 issue.

University of Hawaii, Economic Research Organization (UHERO).  Hawaii’s Governor David Ige has invited UHERO to speak at the Western Governors’ Association Biosecurity and Invasive Species Initiative Workshop in Waimea, Hawaii, on Dec. 9-10, 2018.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. UNL’s indicator reporter predicts improved economic growth in 2019 (The Daily Nebraskan); A UNL Professor Reacts to Amazon’s Minimum Wage Increase to $15 An Hour (KLIN); Nebraska BBR Webinar: The Economic Impact of Nebraska Military Assets and Spending (Webinar Recording / YouTube); Consumer, business confidence diverge in September, survey shows (Lincoln Journal Star); U.S. Trade Gap Rises for Third Straight Month (KLIN); Consumer Confidence Turns Negative in Nebraska (Business News); Consumer confidence turns negative in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); U.S. Unemployment Rate Slides to 3.7 Percent (WNAX); Manufacturing jobs back to pre-recession levels in Nebraska (Fremont Tribune); Rent decreases while cost of homes increases (1011 Now); Nebraska Economist Cautions Against Panic Over the Stock Market (WANX); Nebraska’s economic forecast dims slightly for first time in 11 months, UNL indicator finds (Lincoln Journal Star); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – October 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Economists say not to panic as Stock Market swings wildly (AUDIO) (Nebraska Radio Network); UNL: Economic indicator fell in September (NTV/ABC); Nebraska Leading Indicator Drops in September (Business News); Nebraska’s leading indicator drops in September (Nebraska Today).

University of Wyoming, Center for Energy, Economics and Public Policy. Wyoming: Microsoft Expansion Of Cheyenne Data Center Underway: The $200-million project, announced in 2015, was not needed until this year due to improved server efficiency (Business Facilities);Oil and gas sector pushed state’s economy forward in second quarter (Wyoming Tribune-Eagle).

 

September 2018
Ball State University, Center for Business and Economic Research. Opinion: 7 ways to invest in the automation megatrend (MarketWatch); RV industry sees shipments down by 11.4% in recent months (The Gulf Today); Indiana Manufacturing Has Been On Trump’s Mind. What’s The State Of The Industry Now? (Here and Now); A Different Economic Development: Embracing Equity in Rural Settings (Nonprofit Quarterly); Hicks: Finally, a government answer to job losses caused by automation (IndyStar);

Middle Tennesee State University, Business and Economic Research Center. Housing Tennessee 2nd Quarter 2018; Tennessee Trade Report (Global Commerce: Tennessee and the International Economy; Interview with Center Director Murat Arik about BERC Projects (view interview on BERC website here or on YouTube here.

Chapman University, A Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research. A Puzzlement by Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir (Orange County Business Journal).

University of Montana, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. The 25 Best Economics Podcast of 2018 (Intelligent Economist).

University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization of Hawaii (UHERO). Forecast: UHERO State Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Growth Down, but Not Out; Blog/News: Hybrid Forest Restoration Benefits Communities and Increases Resilience; Forecast: Hawaii Construction Forecast: After Pullback, Construction Prospects Firm; New Report Reveals Hawaii’s Not-So-Booming Economy (Honolulu Civil Beat); Tourism (but not much else) is booming in Hawaii (Hawaii News Now); UHERO forecast: Hawaiʻi’s growth down, but not out (University of Hawai’i News); Reforestation helps culture (Hawaii News).

Georgia State University, Economic Forecasting Center. Santelli Exchange: The economic impact of trade tariffs (CNBC); Most Economists See Tariff Effects on U.S. Economy as Limited (Wall Street Journal); Economists: Strong retail sales to continue rest of year despite August slowdown (S&P Global); Economists Split Over Path of Interest Rates in 2019; (Wall Street Journal) Economists: Retail sales remain strong despite China tariffs (S&P Global); Economists See Two More Fed Rate Increases This Year (Wall Street Journal); Study: Job growth should continue in Georgia this year (Atlanta Journal Constitution); Forecast: Domestic-Demand Sectors Will Drive Georgia Job Growth (SaportaReport).

University of Wyoming, Center for Energy, Economics and Public Policy. Is a state with no income tax — like Washington — better or worse? (The Seattle Times); Deregulation Nation: Coal-Fired Power Plants” Studio 1A (WAMU and NPR); Coal Country: EPA Plan Is Short Term Boost, No Solution For Industry Decline (Maine Public Radio).

University of Utah, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. University of Utah, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. Salt Lake City hiring a full-time census coordinator to avert an undercount many fear is likely with Trump’s new immigration question (Salt Lake Tribune); Guest opinion: The solution to the housing crisis? Compromise (Deseret News); Utah’s Housing Market is Becoming the Next California (Utah Business);  Herald editorial: Work needed to solve housing affordability (Daily Herald); U.S. cities used to have low-rent, short-term, dorm-style housing. Is that what Utah’s homeless need? (Deseret News); Local conferences focuses on the well-being of women in Utah (Good4Utah); Commentary: Wasatch Choice 2050 is a blueprint for how Utah will grow (Salt Lake Tribune); Inland port board member raises warning about not-noticed vote to negotiate deal with Stadler Rail (Deseret News); Dealing with Utah’s Growing Population (Good4Utah); Politics about town: Strong economy and legislative reports (Utah Policy); Census: Utah ranks No. 1 for equality of incomes – at least for now (Salt Lake Tribune);  Minorities’ are now the majority in West Valley City (Fox 13 Now);  Census: West Valley City is now ‘minority majority,’ where minority groups outnumber the white population (Salt Lake Tribune);  Minority’ now a misnomer in West Valley City, census data show (Deseret News);  Inauguration symposium explores future of America’s public universities (KSL); Unlike anything in Utah, this huge new retirement community offers a ‘life plan’ (Salt Lake Tribune).

Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research, University of Tennessee. UT Knoxville Has $1.7 Billion Annual Economic Impact on the State;  VW plant, Chattanooga may benefit by NAFTA deal, economist says (Times Free Press); Great Recession: Nashville’s opportunities, challenges 10 years later (Tennessean);  Business startups add to economic momentum in Tennessee (Times Free Press); A Battle Worth Fighting (Tennessee Alumnus).

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance.  During September 2018, UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel were interviewed for 14 separate television, radio, and newspaper interviews, including one with German Public Radio, regarding prospects for a trade agreement between the United States and Mexico. Recently published Border Region Modelling Project research includes: T.M. Fullerton, Jr., and A. Bujanda, “Commercial Property Values in a Border Metropolitan Economy,” Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science 2 (2), 337-360, doi: 10.1007/s41685-017-0065-x.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. Grow Grand Island: Economic impact of Grand Island’s ‘welcome’ mat (The Grand Island Independent); LPED’s new LaunchLNK initiative recruits early-stage startups to Lincoln (siliconprairienews); Nebraska businesses are optimistic; consumers, not so much (Omaha World Herald); Rising Costs and Fading Consumer Confidence in Nebraska (Business News); August surveys show cost concerns, fading consumer confidence (Nebraska Today); Consumer, business confidence head in different directions (Lincoln Journal Star); Consumer Confidence Down In Nebraska (KLIN); Concerns over cost of living contribute to falling consumer confidence (The Daily Nebraskan); Consumer confidence down in Nebraska; business confidence remains strong (Nebraska Radio Network); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – September 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Nebraska Indicator: The Outlook Improves for Early 2019 (Business News); Nebraska indicator: Economic outlook improves for early 2019 (Nebraska Today); Economic growth predicted in Nebraska for early 2019 (NTV); UNL: Solid NE economic growth through early 2019 (KSNB); Solid growth expected for Nebraska economy for remainder of the year (Nebraska Radio Network); UNL economic indicator jumps 1% in August (Lincoln Journal Star); Big Red Business: Oct. 27 game could be worth over $6 million to businesses (Husker Online); Nebraska Poised For Solid Economic Growth (WNAX); Nebraska Indicator: Economic Outlook Improves For Early 2019 (Sidney Sun Telegraph).

August 2018

Georgia State University, Economic Forecasting Center. Economists See Two More Fed Rate Increases This Year (Wall Street Journal); Economists: Retail sales remain strong despite China tariffs (S&P Global).

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance. During August 2018, UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel were interviewed for five separate television, radio, and newspaper interviews published in the U.S. and Mexico. Tom Fullerton was interviewed regarding NAFTA modernization prospects at a recent USA-Mexico Border Summit held in El Paso. View the Albuquerque Journal here.  Recently published Border Region Modelling Project journal articles include: T.M. Fullerton, Jr., and W.A. Miller “Rivalries, Tradition, and Recession Proof Collegiate Football Attendance in El Paso,” Journal of Sports Economics & Management 7(2), 58-77; T.M. Fullerton, Jr. and A.G. Walke, “Mexico Evidence on the Regional Retail Effects of Violent Crime,”Journal of Economics & Public Finance 4 (3), 244-259, doi: 10.22158/jepf.v4n3p244.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. Study: Nebraska innovation grant program successful (Lincoln Journal Star); Report: Hiring issues increasing in Lincoln area (Lincoln Journal Star); UNL Study: Lincoln businesses struggle with hiring (1011 Now); Business confidence in Nebraska falls after month of growth (NET News); Economy faces challenges, but University of Nebraska economist doesn’t fear recession (Nebraska Radio Network); Nebraska Economist Doesn’t See a Recession (WNAX); Business and Consumer Confidence Moderate in Nebraska (Business News); Business, consumer confidence moderate in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); Survey finds business, consumer confidence moderate in Nebraska as Grand Island’s economy continues to grow (The Grand Island Independent); Digital thrift store: Is Facebook marketplace the new corner boutique? (NET News); Grow Lincoln Segment with Dr. Thompson  (SoundCloud); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – August 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Nebraska indicator: Economic growth will slow significantly (Nebraska Today); Nebraska Indicator: Slower Economic Growth in Early 2019 (Business News); UNL economic indicator flat in July (Lincoln Journal Star); HHD by the economic numbers (Western Farm Press); Nebraska Economic Growth Rate Expected To Slow Down In Upcoming Months (NET News); University of Nebraska report suggests economic slowdown may be coming to the state (Nebraska Radio Network); Nebraska Economy May Slow Down (WNAX).

Indiana University, Indiana Business Research Center. Where Hoosier kids rank (Herald Times); Christina Hale: Trump’s words matter to American allies (Indy Star); Consumers: Tariffs’ loser (Journal Gazette).

University of Utah, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. Salt Lake City hiring a full-time census coordinator to avert an undercount many fear is likely with Trump’s new immigration question (Salt Lake Tribune); “Prehab,” not rehab, may be key to opioid crisis (KSL NewsRadio); Top government official in Utah to address opioid outbreak (Good4Utah); Utah Leads on National Health Care Thought Leadership (Newswise); ‘Where do they go?’: With prices rising, advocates urge Utah leaders to focus on affordable housing to help reduce homelessness (Salt Lake Tribune); In southwestern Utah, unceasing growth means increased tension (High Country News).

West Virginia University, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Mountain State Momentum: State business experts say economy on the rise (WV News); The push must continue (The State Journal); Governor reports surge in state revenue collection, economy (West Virginia Record).

University of Montana, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Report: Montana ranks 9th in US for new business survival rate (Missoulian); Working Families Struggling to Get Paid Time Off (Montana Business Quarterly); Report: Montana’s High-Tech Sector Continues to Outpace Montana’s Economy (Missoula Current); Report: Montana’s Manufacturing Sector Adding Jobs Faster Than the Nation (MSU News Service); BBER Researchers Cited in Forest Service Land Management Litigation Article (Forest Science); BBER’s Forest Industry Research Program was cited in an academic article on U.S. Forest Service litigation and its effect on land management projects (Forest Science).

University of Wyoming, Center for Energy, Economics and Public Policy. Coal Country: EPA Plan Is Short Term Boost, No Solution For Industry Decline (NPR);   In addition to the nationally run story above, this story also ran regionally on Wyoming Public Radio (view story here) and Minnesota Public Radio (view story here); Proposed Wyoming Wind Farm Could Feed Northern Colorado’s Renewable Needs (Colorado Public Radio); Wyoming could support 2,600 carbon tech jobs, Laramie Boomerang (Gillette News-Record); Report: Carbon technology could support 2,600 jobs in Wyoming (Casper Star Tribune);  Wyoming, US economies growing for different reasons (Laramie Boomerang); Is Wyoming Prepared For A Recession? (Wyoming Public Radio);  Is a state with no income tax better or worse? (Bankrate.com).

July 2018

Middle Tennessee State University, Business and Economic Research Center. Tennessee in the Trade War (Global Commerce); Housing Tennessee: 1st Quarter 2018.

Georgia State University, Economic Forecasting Center. Economist: Trade Disruption, Not Rate Hikes, Is Real Concern for Commercial Real Estate (Rebusiness Online); Discretionary spending consumer confidence boost June retail sales(S&P Global); Electronics, furniture most exposed to latest tariffs on China (S&P Global); Supreme Court ruling gives brick-and-mortar stores hope for level playin… (S&P Global).

University of Arizona, Economic and Business Research Center. Tucson still far behind Phoenix metro area in recovery from Great Recession (AZCentral); Tough border stance may see ripple effect (Tucson News Now); Understanding economic impacts (Sun); Tucson Housing Market Bounces Back But Still Short on Labor (Arizona Public Media): Forecast: Tucson will see continued job growth (Sun); How U.S. vs. Mexico trade war will affect you (Tucson News Now); Tucson Economic Update: More Jobs, Housing Activity (Arizona Public Media); Buying a house in Tucson getting tougher as prices keep going up and wages lag (Tucson.com).

University of Montana, Bureau of Business and Economic Research.  Montana’s manufacturing sector adding jobs faster than rest of the nation, MSU/UM report says (MSU News); ATG set to begin office construction in Old Sawmill District, move by January (Missoula Current).

West Virginia University, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Smoldering trade war worries experts (The Register-Herald); Trade Troubles: Escalating Trade Threats Could Hit Ohio Valley Coal, Natural Gas (WOUB Digital); Interstate 68 Meetings Continue in Washington (The Intelligencer – Wheeling News-Register); W.Va. economic indicators show progress but challenges too (The State Journal).

University of Utah, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. Utah works to enforce, explain Medicaid expansion scenarios (KJZZ); Utah execs upbeat about economy, unsure of future, report says (KSL); Security experts raise 2020 Census hacking concerns (Deseret News); As Utah’s Economy Grows, Proper Infrastructure-Building Is Key, Especially in Education (Utah Business); Spatial Development And Design Drive Water Use, According To New Study (Utah Public Radio); Utah Opportunity Zones announced, Pacific Court Senior Living open house, Lehi Hilton opens, Four Foods moving to Valley Grove (Daily Herald); Utah County construction still humming but seeing some dips (Daily Herald); Utah may see a wave of wealthy people buying million-dollar homes. And it could drive up prices for everyone (Salt Lake Tribune); Utah picks up speed on path to greater diversity (Deseret News).

University of Wyoming, Center for Energy, Economics and Public Policy. US ‘mine-mouth’ coal mines at risk, (Argus Media); Can Wyoming’s wind be harnessed … to power California? (The Week – republished PRI/BBC story); America’s leading coal state looks to the wind, (PRI/BBC The World).

A. Gary Anderson Center for Economics Research, Chapman University. Despite strong economic growth, clouds loom on the California horizon (Orange County Register); On California_July ’18, Doti’s article (Orange County Business Journal).

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance. During June and July 2018, UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel were interviewed for 12 separate television, radio, and newspaper interviews published in the USA, Switzerland, the UK, and Mexico. Tom Fullerton was interviewed for several articles, including: Economists Are All Over the Map on Trade War’s Duration, Scope (Bloomberg); Trump angered by Harley-Davidson’s decision to move some production out of US (Channel 4 News of London); Gundlach Sees 6% Yield in 3 Years. Anyone Else? (Bloomberg). Border Region Modelling Project journal articles published last month include: D. Barai, T.M. Fullerton, Jr., and A.G. Walke, 2018, “Exchange Rate Forecast Futility for the Taka,” Eurasian Journal of Economics & Finance 6 (2), 1-7, doi: 10.15604/ejef.2018.06.02.001 S. Coronado, T.M. Fullerton, Jr., and O. Rojas, 2018, “A Nonlinear Analysis of Oil Price Co-movements,” International Journal of Energy Economics & Policy 8 (3), 290-294.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. Omaha Barometer (Omaha Chamber of Commerce); Nebraska in the national news: June 2018 (Nebraska Today); June Surveys: Business Confidence Surges in Nebraska (Business News); June surveys: Business confidence surges in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); G.I. chamber says trade war would hurt local economy (The Grand Island Independent); Business, Consumer Confidence rise in Nebraska (Nebraska Radio Network); UNL index falls in June, suggesting slower economic growth (Lincoln Journal Star); Nebraska Indicator: Slow Economic Growth at the End of 2018 (Business News); Nebraska indicator predicts slow economic growth at end of 2018 (Nebraska Today); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – July 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube).

June 2018

University of Wyoming, Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy.  Trump Tariff war is unlikely to hurt Wyoming coal export prospects (Casper Star-Tribune, Sheridan Press); SCOTUS OKs taxes on internet sales in win for states, brick-and-mortar stores (Wyoming Tribune Eagle); PRB could see short reprieve under coal plan (Gillette News Record); In Wyoming wind, a conservative billionaire sees California’s future (Desert Sun/USA Today – updated interview – original story Feb. 1, 2017); Revenue Committee to consider tax barriers to economic diversification (Sheridan Press); Iran Sanctions Could Drive Mountain West Oil Production Up (KUNC); In killer year for wind, Wyoming lags behind (Casper Star Tribune).

Chapman University, A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research.   Don’t Believe the Doomsday Scenarios on our Housing Needs (Orange County Register); On Economics: “In Defense of a Defensive Strategy,” Jim Doti (Orange County Business Journal), May 21, 2018; On California: “Read Any Good Books Lately?  I Have!,” Jim Doti (Orange County Business Journal), June 18, 2018.

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance.  UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel A.G. Walke and T.M. Fullerton, Jr., along with R.J. Tokle of Idaho State University, published the following journal article using regional credit union data from across the United States: “Risk-Based Loan Pricing Consequences for Credit Unions,” 2018, Journal of Empirical Finance 47, 105-119, doi.

University of Montana, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Post-Colstrip economy will be rough for all of Montana, state Chamber of Commerce says (Billings Gazette); Study Forecasts Economic Effects of Colstrip’s Early Closure (Flathead Beacon); Study: Fewer Montana kids in poverty, more insured (Great Falls Tribune);

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. 2018 Omaha Barometer Report (Greater Omaha Chamber); Grow Lincoln Segment with Dr. Thomspon 5/12 (KLIN); Report: Consumer, business confidence drops in state (Lincoln Journal Star); Confidence in Nebraska economy slips (Nebraska Radio Network); Consumer and Business Confidence Slip In Nebraska (KLIN); Consumer, business confidence dip in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); Consumer and Business Confidence Fall in Nebraska (Business News); Nebraska Economic Survey Shows Increasing Worries (WNAX); Omaha unemployment rate challenges local employers (Sioux City Journal); Omaha unemployment rate challenges local employers (San Francisco Chronicle); The problem with Omaha’s low unemployment rate (Omaha World Herald); Strong industrial sector to boost Nebraska economy (1011 News); Forecast: Manufacturing, construction to drive Nebraska economy (Lincoln Journal Star); Manufacturing expected to help drive Nebraska economy (Bristol Herald Courier); University of Nebraska economists expect strong growth over next 3 years, though ag will suffer through another down year (Nebraska Radio Network); Strength in manufacturing sector expected to boost Nebraska economy (NET News); Manufacturing expected to help drive Nebraska economy (WOWT News); Strong Industrial Sector to Boost Nebraska Economy (Business News); Strong industrial sector to boost Nebraska economy (Nebraska Today); Kelly: Omaha ranked second to Honolulu among metro areas with 200,000 to 1 million people (Omaha World Herald); Nebraska Economy Expected to Continue Growth (WNAX); With more open jobs than available workers, who will fill the positions? (NBC News); Grow Lincoln Segment with Dr. Thomspon 6/16 (KLIN); Nebraska BBR Webinar: Nebraska Long-range Economic Forecast (Webinar Recording / YouTube); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – June 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Economic Growth to Slow During the 4th Quarter of 2018 (Business News); Indicator: Economic growth to slow during fourth quarter (Nebraska Today); Economic indicator points to slower growth in state (Lincoln Journal Star); State economy moving at slower pace due to trade worries (Nebraska Radio Network); Report: Economic growth in Nebraska to slow near end of 2018 (Nebraska TV); Economic Slowing Predicted (KLIN); Economic Growth in Nebraska Expected to Slow Down (WNAX).

May 2018

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance. During April and May 2018, UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel were interviewed for 8 separate television, radio, and newspaper interviews published in the USA and Mexico.
On May 16, Tom Fullerton was interviewed about rising oil and gasoline prices in the Texas Standard:
http://www.texasstandard.org/stories/rising-gas-prices-are-a-break-even-proposition-for-the-texas-economy/
BRMP research presented at the 2017 AUBER conference in Albuquerque was also published as a journal article last month:
T.M. Fullerton, Jr. and L.M. Sáenz-Rojo, 2018, “Yield Spreads, the Exchange Rate, and Recession Predictability for Northern Mexico Border Economies,” Asian Journal of Economic Modelling 6 (1), 56-64, doi: 10.18488/journal.8.2018.61.56.64.

Penn State Behrend, Economic Research Institute of Erie in the Black School of Business, in collaboration with former AUBER president Dr. Jim Kurre, has completed An Analysis of Cost-of-Living Data for Pennsylvania Counties, a study that was funded by the Center for Rural Pennsylvania (CRP), a legislative agency of the Pennsylvania General Assembly.  The study has been officially released and is now in the mailboxes of members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly.  The full study is available at the CRP’s website: http://www.rural.palegislature.us/documents/reports/Cost-of-Living-Study-2018.pdf  A brief summary of the study is available in the May/June 2018 issue of the CRP Newsletter: http://www.rural.palegislature.us/publications_newsletter.html

University of Montana Bureau of Business and Economic Research. University of Montana podcast features Tester, Gianforte, on higher ed levy (Missoulian); Firearms, alcohol and electronics driving Montana’s manufacturing sector (Missoulian); Does density promote affordability? Economists say yes, Minneapolis residents are skeptical; (Star Tribune); Our great outdoors fueling state’s tech growth (Bozeman Daily Chronicle); Benefits of Medicaid to be discussed at Great Falls forum (Great Falls Tribune);

University of Utah, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute.  What Rapidly Rising Prices Mean for Housing Affordability (Gardner Business Review);  Housing shortage evident across Utah, report says (the Spectrum); Trying to stem the skyrocketing price of Utah housing is goal of new Salt Lake Chamber coalition (Salt Lake Tribune); St. George, Utah, is nation’s fastest-growing metro area, Census says (USA Today).

Georgia State University, Economic Forecasting Center. GDP in US to expand 2.9% in 2018, recession not in sight: Forecast (Staffing Industry Analysts); GSU Economist Urges Patience as Full Impact of Tax Cuts Ripples Through System (Rebusiness Online); Georgia Small Businesses Set to Benefit from Tax Cut, But Not Enough to Break Moderating Trend (Georgia Association of Business Brokers); GSU Economic Forecaster Advises Patience for Remainder of 2018 (Georgia Association of Business Brokers); Georgia Small Businesses Set to Benefit from Tax Cut, But Not Enough to Break Moderating Trend (Saporta Report); Georgia economy tightly tied to global factors, says GSU forecaster (Atlanta Journal-Constitution); Economic Forecaster Advises Patience for Remainder of 2018 (Middle Georgia CEO); Georgia State economist cautions patience with tax cut impacts (Atlanta Business Chronicle).

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. 89 Nebraska faculty receive promotion, tenure (Nebraska Today); Nebraska indicator: Economic growth expected through summer (Nebraska Today); Nebraska Indicator: Economic Growth Through Summer 2018 (Business News); UNL economic indicator rises in March (Lincoln Journal Star); Civitas Consulting Students Aid Nonprofit Startups (Business News); Moze-Kadavy, Villota earn Boren Scholarship (Nebraska Today);  Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – April 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Nebraska BBR Webinar: Bureau Scholars Research Results (Webinar Recording / YouTube); Consumer, business confidence drop in April (Lincoln Journal Star); Business and consumer confidence slips slightly in April (Nebraska Radio Network); April surveys: Business, consumer confidence moderate in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); Nebraska ag land values fall 2.77 percent, the 2nd straight decline (Omaha World Herald); Nebraska ag land values fall 2.77 percent, the 2nd straight decline (Sandhills Express); Nebraska ag land values fall 2.77 percent, the 2nd straight decline (KWBE); Nebraska Business and Consumer Confidence Remain Strong (WNAX); Nebraska farmland values drop by 2.8 percent (1011 Now); Nebraska farmland values drop by 2.8 percent (The Grand Island Independent); Nebraska farmland values drop by 2.8 percent (Herald Courier); Nebraska Farmland Values Drop by 2.8 Percent (KTIC); Nebraska Labor Availability, Skill and Training Studies (Networks/NET); DUI cases on the decline in Lancaster County, study finds (Lincoln Journal Star); Nebraska Indicator says economic growth to continue (Nebraska TV);  Nebraska indicator: Economic growth to continue through fourth quarter (Nebraska Today); Nebraska BBR Webinar: Annual Business Indicators for the Lincoln Area (Webinar Recording / YouTube); LINCOLN’S 2018 BUSINESS CONDITIONS & INDICATORS REPORT (LPED Research & Reports); Nebraska economists bullish on state economy for remainder of 2018 (Nebraska Radio Network).

University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization. UHERO State Forecast Update: Ready or not, Hawaii is set for more growth;   Rethinking Hawaii Tourism: Time to Shift from Marketing to Managing Tourism?;  Making Sense of Mandatory Resort Fees; Who are Driving Electric Vehicles? An analysis of factors that affect EV adoption in Hawaii; Variable Pricing and the Cost of Renewable EnergyA Pocket Full of PIMs; Should regulators fear bond-rating agencies?

April 2018

University of Tennessee, Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research. 
With Fed ‘at or near’ goals, Bostic wants more rate hikes (Reuters); Bostic, Kaplan See Two More 2018 Fed Rate Hikes If Outlook Holds (Bloomberg); Chattanooga job growth outpaces nation (Chattanooga Times Free Press); Dialogue: Coal in Appalachia (WUOT); Tennessee jobless rate steady at record low 3.3 percent in January (Chattanooga Times Free Press); Census: Nashville Continues to Lead State’s Population Growth (News Release).

Ball State University, Center for Business and Economic Research. The Future of America’s Economy Looks a Lot Like Elkhart, Indiana (Wall Street Journal); Anguished Families Shoulder The Biggest Burdens Of Opioid Addiction (NPR); Is Donald Trump right that China slaps a 25 percent tariff on American cars? (Politifact); Automation risks costing people their health as well as their jobs (The Hill).

University of Wyoming Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy. One year after bankruptcy, Peabody expresses optimism — though challenges remain for coal industry (St Louis Post-Dispatch); Enzi: It’s Time to End this EPA Attack on Wyoming’s Coal Industry (Coalzoom-org);  Zinke’s Plan to Fund the Park Service Is Pure Fantasy (Outside Magazine); Dispute Over Coal’s Effects on Climate Change Heads to Court (Bloomberg News); US Coal Saw Gains In 2017. So, How Did Colorado Jobs Fare? (Colorado Public Radio); Coal Jobs Have Gone Up Under Trump, But Not Because Of His Policies (National Public Radio);  Wyoming officials optimistic about Trump’s infrastructure proposal (Wyoming Tribune Eagle);  Peabody Energy Reports Higher Revenue, Tough Outlook (Wyoming Public Radio);  Wyoming coal production likely faces more declines (Wyoming Casper Star-Tribune).

Georgia State University, Economic Forecasting Center. Georgia and Atlanta growth will slow this year, GSU forecasts (Atlanta Journal Constitution); Nussbaum Transportation Begins Employee Stock Ownership Plan (Transport Topics); Trucking Industry Posts Big Job Gains in March (Transport Topics); Georgia Predicted to Add Jobs, Personal Income Growth Anticipated for 2018 (Saporta Report); Economic Forecaster Says Decisive Year Ahead for Federal Reserve (PR Web). US auto exports to South Korea under revised trade deal face low demand (S&P Global); Tit-for-tat tariffs to impact billions of dollars in US China trade (S&P Global); Economists: Spending ‘hangover,’ volatile stock market drive weak February sales  (S&P Global); Consumer companies brace for fallout from US steel, aluminum tariffs (S&P Global).

University of Hawaii, Economic Research Organization. UHERO State Forecast Update: Not much lift from tax cuts in Hawaii’s soaring economy;  Time to End the Preferential Taxation of Timeshare Occupancy?Determinants of Residential Solar Photovoltaic Adoption;   Linking land and sea to inform ahupua‘a (ridge-to-reef) management in Hawai‘i – NSF Coastal SEES;   The Conversation: Aida Arik on Home Solar Batteries.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Bureau of Business Research. Nebraska Business and Consumer Confidence Settle at High Levels (Business News); UNL confidence indexes rise in March (Lincoln Journal Star);  Nebraska business, consumer confidence settle at high levels (Nebraska Today); Tariffs could have big effect on Nebraska — if Trump follows through with tough talk (Lincoln Journal Star); Nebraska BBR Webinar: Climate Impacts on Water Quality and Cattle Feeding (YouTube); Jobs In Nebraska: What’s Hot, What’s Not, What’s Changing (NET Nebraska); Grow Lincoln 3/24 Seg 4 -Eric Thompson (Grow Lincoln / KLIN); Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – March 2018 (BBR Podcast / YouTube); Continued Expectations for State Economic Growth (Business News); February’s leading economic indicators point to continued growth into third quarter (Nebraska Radio Network); Economic indicator shows continued growth in Nebraska (Nebraska Today); Midlands Voices: NU is an investment in our state’s future (Omaha World Herald); Nebraska Business and Consumer Confidence Fall From Peak Levels (Business News); Surveys: Nebraska business, consumer confidence slip from peak levels (Nebraska Today); Report: Nebraska consumers, businesses less confident in Feb. (Lincoln Journal Star); Bureau of Business Research to Present Spring Webinar Series (Business News); Platte River diversion to Republican River would be Nebraska’s first (Omaha World Herald); Grand Island’s economy hits $1 billion net taxable sales mark for the fifth straight year (The Grand Island Independent).

University of Arizona, Eller College of Management. Brewing co-op latest sign of heady Tucson craft beer scene (Arizona Daily Star); UA economist: Arizona industries could be vulnerable to retaliatory tariffs (video) Tucson economy: MAP Dashboard (Arizona Daily Star); More Arizonans join job hunt as employment opportunities abound (Tuscon.com); Economist: Trump tariffs could cost jobs in places like Arizona (Arizona Public Media).

University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Economics & Finance. During the first quarter of 2018, UTEP Border Region Modelling Project (BRMP) personnel were interviewed for more than 18 separate television interviews aired in the USA and Mexico.

BRMP Economists Tom Fullerton and Adam Walke authored two books recently published by the Water Research Foundation:

  • T.M. Fullerton, Jr. and A.G. Walke, Improving the Accuracy of Short-Term Water Demand Forecasts, Denver, CO: Water Research Foundation, ISBN: 978-1-60573-298-5.
  • T.M. Fullerton, Jr. and A.G. Walke, Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Manual, Denver, CO: Water Research Foundation, ISBN: 978-1-60573-299-2.

University of Montana, Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Economists offer suggestions to tackle Montana’s looming severe workforce shortage (Missoulian); Governor touts Medicaid expansion benefits with health care officials (Missoulian); I-185 Links Tobacco Taxes To Medicaid Expansion Funding (Montana Public Radio); Medicaid Expansion Stimulates Montana Economy, Report Shows (Montana Public Radio); Lawmakers should read report on Medicaid expansion (Bozeman Daily Chronicle); Bullock touts economic impact of Medicaid expansion (KPAX).