Association for University
Business and Economic Research

A National Association of
Regional Economic Research Centers

Program

Saturday, October 13

9:00am-12:00pm

Workshop

Jonathan Schwabish, Urban Institute
Data Visualization Training Part I

1:00pm-4:00pm

Workshop

Jonathan Schwabish, Urban Institute
Data Visualization Training Part II

3:00pm-5:00pm

Registration

5:00pm-7:00pm

Welcome Reception

*Dinner on Your Own

7:00pm-10:00pm

AUBER Board Meeting

9:00pm

Hospitality Suite

Sunday, October 14

7:45am-9:00am

Breakfast

Welcome Speaker:

Keynote Speaker

Jonathan Schwabish, Urban Institute
Data Visualization

9:00am-10:30am

Social Impact Studies

Session Chair:

James McCafferty,
Western Washington University

Presentations:

Justine Dombroski
Western Washington University,
Economic Impact of Food Banks

Benjamin Blair, Columbus State University
Does Participation by K-12 Students in Local Non-Profit Agency Programs Improve Academic Performance Relative to Their Peers?

Jeff Wallace, University of Memphis
The Need for Justification: Internal and External Causes

Web Tools

Session Chair:

Maile Nadelhoffer, University of Arizona

Presentations:

Maile Nadelhoffer, University of Arizona
Data Update/Quality Control for the Arizona-Mexico Economic Indicators Website

Alisha A. Kim, University of Arizona
Some Simple Mapping Options to Enhance Your Center’s Digital Presence

AUBER Centers and Media Relations from the University's Perspective

Session Chair:

Sean Snaith,
University of Central Florida

Presentations:

Ericka Hodges, Director of Communications & Marketing, University of Central Florida College of Business

Bill Warren, Chief Marketing and Communications Officer, University of Utah

Vanessa Fry, Boise State University

10:30am-10:45am

Break/Networking

10:45am-12:15pm

Modeling/Forecasting Regional Economies

Session Chair:

Carl Bonham,
University of Hawaii

Presentations:

Peter Fuleky, University of Hawaii
Big Data Forecasting Overview

Keith Phillips, Dallas Fed
Employment Forecasting Model

Duncan Meldrum
Mixed Approach to Forecasting the Semiconductor Industry

Dashboards

Session Chair:

Herb Holloway,
Southeastern Louisiana University

Presentations:

Herb Holloway,
Southeastern Louisiana University
Dashboard on a Budget

Michael Hollingsworth, Indiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis
Dashboard for Regional Economic Development

Advances in Economic Impact Analysis Session

Session Chair:

Greg Alward, Alward Institute

Presentations:

Greg Alward and Brian Lewandowski
Estimating Sales Tax Impacts with Input-Output Models

Greg Alward
Building Open Source Regional Social Accounting Systems Session

Stanislaw Rzeznik, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Regionalization in the RIMS II Model

12:15pm-1:30pm

Lunch

Keith Schwer Keynote

John Silvia, Wells Fargo Bank
U.S. Economic Outlook

1:30pm-3:00pm

Media Relations Plenary Session

Session Chair:

Sean Snaith, University of Central Florida

Presentations:

Annetta Wilson

Media Relations Plenary Session

Session Chair:

Sean Snaith, University of Central Florida

Presentations:

Annetta Wilson

QCEW Big Data at the Local Level

Session Chair:

David Talan, BLS Chair

3:00pm-3:30pm

Break/Networking

3:30pm-5:00pm

Forecasting Regional Economies

Session Chair:

Carl Bonham, University of Hawaii

Presentations:

William Shobe, University of Virginia
Forecasting Electricity Demand Using State Space TVP Models

Qian Cia, University of Virginia
Population Projections for 50 States and Washington, D.C.

Carl Bonham/Peter Fuleky
A Dynamic Single Index Model for Hawaii

Business Models of Small AUBER Units

Session Chair:

Dr. Marc Anthony Fusaro, Ph.D, Emporia State University

Presentations:

Michael Davisson, Pittsburg State University

Agim Kukeli, Midwestern State University

Benjamin Blair, Columbus State University

Economic Outlook Events: Getting Them Going and Keeping Them Going

Session Chair:

Patrick Barkey, University of Montana

Presentations:

Jeremy Hill, Wichita State University
Shifting Strategies for Starting, Growing and Creating Profits

Monica Haynes, University of Minnesota – Duluth
Unlikely Partnerships: How Three Universities Connect Student Learning With Economic Development to Produce a Highly Successful Outreach Event

Cathy Carey, University of Western Kentucky
When Getting It Right The First Time Matters: Developing an Economic Outlook for the Region

*Dinner on Your Own

9:00pm

Hospitality Suite

Monday, October 15

7:45am-9:00am

Breakfast

Welcome Speaker:

Keynote Speaker

Joel Kotkin, Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures, Chapman University
California and the New American Feudalism

9:00am-10:30am

Energy

Session Chair:

John Deskins, West Virginia University

Presentations:

Chris Judson, REMI
Evaluating the Economic Impacts of Imposing a Carbon Tax on the State of Massachusetts

Eric Bowen, West Virginia University
The Influence of Effective Reimbursement Rates in State Net Metering Policies on Distributed Solar Adoption 

William Shobe, University of Virginia
The Effect of “Non-binding” Price Floors on the Price of Bankable Emissions Permits

Christine Mikell, Enyo Energy

Federal Statistics – I

Session Chair:

Hart Hodges, Western Washington University

Presentations:

Eric Figueroa, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Applications of Regional Price Parities

Sharon Panek, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Research and Development of Prototype Gross Domestic Product by County Statistics

Stephen M. Miller, University of Nevada – Las Vegas
Firm Size, Corporate Debt, R&D Activity, and Agency Costs: Exploring Dynamic and Non-Linear Effects

Andy Hait, U.S. Census

Weird Data Science in the Service of Regional Economic Development

Session Chair:

Tim Slaper, Indiana University

Presentations:

Qing Wu, Senior Economist, Google
Using Google Data to Measure Macro-Economic and Regional Economic Trends

Alyssa Bianco, Geo-Spatial Analyst, Dstillery
Digital Vapor Trails: Using Dstillery Data on Website Behavior to Nowcast Entrepreneurial Activity

Timothy Slaper and Johan Bollen, Indiana University
Dispositions of Entrepreneurs on Social Media Versus the General Population: An Application of Twitter Sentiment Analysis

10:30am-10:45am

Break/Networking

10:45am-12:15pm

The Economic Impact of the Opioid Crisis

Session Chair:

John Deskins, West Virginia University

Presentations:

Peter Evangelakis, REMI
The Economic Consequences of the Opioid Crisis

Mark Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Opioids and the Labor Market

Ryan M. Brewer, Indiana University
The Opioid Crisis, 15 Years and Counting: Cumulative Economic Damages Sustained Throughout the State of Indiana

Economic Analysis Grab Bag: Housing, Wages, and Environmental Restoration

Session Chair:

John Downen

Presentations:

Amy Newburn, University of West Florida
Housing Affordability in Northwest Florida

Richard Vogel, Farmingdale State College
The Economic Impact of Prevailing Wages: A Methodological Framework

Gabriel Ehrlich, University of Michigan
The Socioeconomic Impacts of the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative

State Revenue Forecasting – Best Practices

Session Chair:

Rich Wobbekind, University of Colorado

Presentations:

David Stringfellow, State of Utah

Robert Zahradnik, Pew Charitable Trusts
Revenue Forecasting and Volatility

Christopher Grandy, University of Hawaii (Manoa)
(Nearly) Forty Years of Forecasting: Reflections on Hawaii’s Council on Revenues

12:15pm-1:30pm

Lunch

Keynote Speaker

Qing Wu, Senior Economist, Google
Leveraging Google Data Tools for Social Science Studies

1:45pm-9:00pm

Field Trip

High West Distillery, Park City

9:00pm

Hospitality Suite

Tuesday, October 16

7:45am-9:00am

Breakfast

AUBER Business Meeting and Awards Presentation

9:15am-9:30am

Break/Networking

9:30am-10:45am

Graduate Student Presentations

Session Chair:

Eric Thompson, University of Nebraska

Presentations:

Data Visualization

Session Chair:

John Downen, University of Utah

Presentations:

Bart Poulson
Building Data-Based Narratives in Excel and Tableau: A Hands-on Workshop

(Laptop recommended but not necessary – free Tableau Public is available at https://public.tableau.com/s)

Data Collection

Session Chair:

Presentations:

Dan Kinnear, University of Arizona
Data Process for Forecasting Projects

Maria Arias, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank

Benjamin Liebman, St. Joseph’s University
Protectionist Threats and Chinese Steel Equity Response

11:00am

Adjournment